Adam Jenkins

Author at Prime Economist

As the world faces yet another crisis, one thing remains unchanged: the
need for objective information. Here’s what’s happening at the heart of
the events...

US-Iran War

US-Iran War: Two Victories, No Clear Winner

The Week That Shaped the World — 17–24 April 2026Two Victories, No Outcome, and the Price of Strategic Ambiguity — and Other Major Stories of the WeekThis was not a week of resolution. It was a week of competing endings.

Hungary After Orbán

Hungary After Orbán — Europe’s Last Gamble for Strategic Unity

The Week That Shaped the World — 10–17 April 2026Hungary After Orbán, Hormuz Under Pressure, and the New Cost of Strategic Illusion — and Other Major Stories of the Week This was not a week of peace. It was a week of rearrangement.

Hormuz

Hormuz and the Politics of the Pause

The Week That Shaped the World — 3–10 April 2026Hormuz, Lebanon and the Price of Temporary Calm — and Other Major Stories of the Week

Estonia, Ust-Luga

Estonia, Ust-Luga and the Grey Zone of Consent: Has Ukraine Just Dragged the Baltics Closer to the War?

The Week That Shaped the World — 27 March - 3 April 2026Estonia, Ust-Luga and the Grey Zone of Escalation — and Other Major Stories of the WeekThis week, the geopolitical landscape teetered on the brink, as conflicts escalated, global tensions mounted, and strategic dec

Hormuz

Hormuz and the Politics of Deadlines: Why America’s Pressure on Iran Became the Week’s Defining Test

The Week That Shaped the World — 20–27 March 2026Hormuz, Central Bank Paralysis, and the New Geography of Pressure — and Other Major Stories of the WeekThere are weeks when world affairs still pretend to be governed by diplomacy, and there are weeks when the mask slips.

 Energy Coercion in the Middle East

Energy Coercion in the Middle East: How Israel’s Attack on South Pars May Be Redrawing Turkey’s Strategic Future

The Week That Shaped the World — 13 - 20 March 2026Energy Coercion in the Middle East — and Other Major Stories of the WeekThere are weeks when the world changes through ideology, and there are weeks when it changes through infrastructure.

EU AI Act 2026: Europe Turns AI Literacy Into Law

EU AI Act 2026: Europe Turns AI Literacy Into Law — and Britain Should Pay Attention

The Week That Shaped the World — 6 - 13 March 2026EU AI Act 2026: Europe Turns AI Literacy Into Law — as the World Turns HarderThere are weeks when the world changes through a speech, a missile or a market panic.

Iran Crisis 2026

Iran Crisis 2026: Middle East War, Global Alliances and the Battle for Capital

The Week That Shaped the World — 27 February - 6 March 2026Iran Crisis 2026: The Geopolitics Behind the Escalation — and the Global Shifts It TriggeredThe escalating confrontation around Iran is rapidly becoming more than a regional conflict.

The Middle Eastern Breakpoint

The Middle Eastern Breakpoint: The Israel–US War with Iran — and Who Profits

As the Israel–US war with Iran threatens to ignite a wider Middle East conflict and disrupt global oil markets, a deeper question emerges: who ultimately benefits from the geopolitical and financial shockwaves?There are moments in geopolitics when the official explanation feels too neat.

The Killing of El Mencho in Mexico

The Killing of El Mencho in Mexico: Justice Served — or the Monroe Doctrine Reawakened?

The Week That Shaped the World — 20–27 February 2026The Killing of El Mencho in Mexico — and Other Major Stories of the WeekPower shifted quietly this week — but unmistakably.

Geneva Talks: Diplomacy Without Movement

Geneva Talks: Diplomacy Without Movement in the Russia–Ukraine War

The Week That Shaped the World — 13–20 February 2026Geneva Without Movement — Diplomatic Stalemates, Fracturing Alliances and the Rise of Physical AIThis week began with diplomacy — and ended with the realisation that diplomacy alone may no longer be enough.

Military Aid from Britain and a €90bn Loan from Brussels

UK Military Aid to Ukraine, EU €90bn Defence Loan and the New Financial Front of the War — February 2026

The Week That Shaped the World — 6–13 February 2026Missiles, Money and the Mathematics of Resolve — Ukraine War Funding, EU Defence Strategy and Financial Market RepricingFebruary did not begin with peace talks. It began with numbers.